Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 14.633096 17.825380 21.366490 25.560806 30.367247 35.677141 41.959992
2025-11-02 9.767643 13.797846 18.766882 25.233031 33.306824 42.935091 55.155109
2025-11-09 7.233887 11.535283 17.302351 25.358634 36.059674 49.514800 67.411387
2025-11-16 5.493897 9.791686 16.001747 25.220724 38.109080 55.018122 78.349363
2025-11-23 4.123367 8.210296 14.560251 24.538010 39.149033 59.051337 87.398073
2025-11-30 3.429749 7.511366 14.250696 25.339489 42.182690 65.800662 100.260079
2025-12-07 2.676994 6.514233 13.280029 24.962541 43.384003 69.977633 109.713850
2025-12-14 2.188090 5.874174 12.773239 25.203967 45.448117 75.402637 121.060836
2025-12-21 1.619168 4.905938 11.513796 24.023845 45.158028 77.302644 127.386243
2025-12-28 1.371772 4.566275 11.345780 24.656382 47.744463 83.553080 140.209718
2026-01-04 1.135762 4.180584 11.017629 24.947475 49.755706 88.980470 151.981541
2026-01-11 0.951291 3.866531 10.777521 25.355638 51.957885 94.763630 164.454920
2026-01-18 0.801065 3.615826 10.672082 26.085837 54.898401 102.063133 179.867542
2026-01-25 0.611851 3.169179 10.052288 25.752633 55.972858 106.471476 191.088733
2026-02-01 0.484779 2.861769 9.690615 25.880223 57.851257 112.235042 204.590815
2026-02-08 0.372987 2.544690 9.233540 25.740116 59.200937 117.149502 216.884799
2026-02-15 0.268329 2.180523 8.564713 25.046488 59.435506 120.167410 226.214335
2026-02-22 0.226002 2.072250 8.575194 25.860772 62.595538 128.273404 243.996466
2026-03-01 0.165251 1.815474 8.093130 25.477813 63.373428 132.277612 255.183876
2026-03-08 0.129082 1.663134 7.889788 25.723092 65.402198 138.527075 270.237834
2026-03-15 0.081817 1.368056 7.139171 24.524059 64.393479 139.325534 276.205485
2026-03-22 0.066242 1.293679 7.120666 25.166757 67.233265 147.127157 294.164225
2026-03-29 0.050568 1.192047 6.976535 25.462506 69.349103 153.675905 310.157303